Question

Before 8 September 2018, will the UK request an extension to Article 50 for leaving the EU?

Resolved :No1%

7 comments7

Total Forecasters74

Community Prediction1% (1% - 2%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 1%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

79.6

Community Peer Score

22.0

Authors:

IARPA Question Bot

Opened:

Aug 18, 2018

Closes:

Sep 7, 2018

Resolves:

Sep 8, 2018

IARPA 2018 Global Forecasting Challenge

2018 Leaderboard

Treaty of Lisbon

European Union

Accession of Turkey to the EU

UK invocation of Article 50 of the Treaty on EU

United Kingdom

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Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the United Kingdom rejoin the European Union before 2030?

Will any country besides the United Kingdom trigger article 50 to leave the European Union, before 2030?

11%

When will the United Kingdom apply to rejoin the EU?

2038-06-17

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