Question

How many scheduled airline flights within, into, or out of the United States will be canceled on Wednesday, November 23rd (the day before Thanksgiving), as reported by FlightAware?

Resolved :60271

9 comments9

Total Forecasters42

Community Prediction271 (154 - 433)

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My Prediction

community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>3k

...

153.6

270.6

432.9

0.1%

What was the final result?60

Community Baseline Score

35.0

Community Peer Score

64.9

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Authors:

EvanHarper

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Economy & Business

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Thanksgiving

NFL on Thanksgiving Day

FlightAware

United States

Holiday air travel 2024: What you need to know before flying for Christmas and New Year’s.

Slate•Dec 17, 2024

It’s beginning to look like another record for holiday travel

Associated Press•Dec 20, 2024

Today is one of the busiest travel days of the year. More than 4,500 flights are delayed

Independent•Dec 21, 2024

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How many farmed birds will be killed in the United States due to bird flu in 2025?

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What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations for the United States for the following weeks in the 2024-25 season?

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0.1%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

EvanHarper

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

🔰Q4 2022 Beginner Tournament 🔰

Economy & Business

2022 Leaderboard

Thanksgiving

NFL on Thanksgiving Day

FlightAware

United States

Holiday air travel 2024: What you need to know before flying for Christmas and New Year’s.

Slate•Dec 17, 2024

It’s beginning to look like another record for holiday travel

Associated Press•Dec 20, 2024

Today is one of the busiest travel days of the year. More than 4,500 flights are delayed

Independent•Dec 21, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

How many farmed birds will be killed in the United States due to bird flu in 2025?

47.8M

What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations for the United States for the following weeks in the 2024-25 season?

Will BirdCast report 1 billion birds flying over the United States at any point before January 1, 2025?

0.1%

Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

MetaculusM

How many scheduled airline flights within, into, or out of the United States will be canceled on Wednesday, November 23rd (the day before Thanksgiving), as reported by FlightAware?

Make a Prediction

How many farmed birds will be killed in the United States due to bird flu in 2025?

What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations for the United States for the following weeks in the 2024-25 season?

Will BirdCast report 1 billion birds flying over the United States at any point before January 1, 2025?

Comments

How many farmed birds will be killed in the United States due to bird flu in 2025?

What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations for the United States for the following weeks in the 2024-25 season?

Will BirdCast report 1 billion birds flying over the United States at any point before January 1, 2025?

How many farmed birds will be killed in the United States due to bird flu in 2025?

What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations for the United States for the following weeks in the 2024-25 season?

Will BirdCast report 1 billion birds flying over the United States at any point before January 1, 2025?

How many farmed birds will be killed in the United States due to bird flu in 2025?

What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations for the United States for the following weeks in the 2024-25 season?

Will BirdCast report 1 billion birds flying over the United States at any point before January 1, 2025?