Question

What percentage "yes" will Elon Musk's Twitter poll have for reinstating Trump?

Resolved :51.851.8

12 comments12

Total Forecasters43

Community Prediction51.8 (50.7 - 52.9)

Make a Prediction

My Prediction

community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

...

50.73

51.83

52.93

What was the final result?51.8

Community Baseline Score

124.6

Community Peer Score

15.1

Learn more about scores here.

Authors:

emilowk

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Musk and Trump are viewed roughly the same by Americans, an AP-NORC poll finds

Associated Press•Dec 18, 2024

Poll finds Musk and Trump are viewed roughly the same by Americans

PBS NewsHour•Dec 19, 2024

Elon Musk's Favorability Among Americans Similar to Trump's: Poll

Newsweek•Dec 19, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will Elon Musk cease to be an advisor to Donald Trump and face public criticism from Donald Trump before 2026?

25%

Will Elon Musk hold major political office in the United States before February 2033?

Will Donald Trump have a positive net favorability rate on December 20, 2025, according to 538?

20%

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