Question

Will the US midterms be hacked?

Resolved :No45%

17 comments17

Total Forecasters63

Community Prediction45% (30% - 52%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 45%

Did this actually happen?No

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5.3

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-0.3

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Authors:

AdamK

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

2018 United States elections

Director of National Intelligence

United States congressional committee

US Department of Justice

Nevada

North Carolina

Election-bound Germany braces for Russian disinformation threat

Raw Story•Dec 17, 2024

They’ve Finally Finished Counting Votes, and Yes, It’s Fishy

PJ Media•Dec 18, 2024

Sweeping Chinese hack of U.S. telecoms firms is 'still going on,' homeland security secretary says

NBC•Dec 19, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will a major attack on voting systems in a G20 country be widely attributed to an AI before 2025?

Will the U.S. have passed legislation that requires cybersecurity around AI models before 2026?

56%

Will Meta claim that there was AI-driven "coordinated inauthentic behavior" to influence the 2024 US Presidential election?

66%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

AdamK

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

2018 United States elections

Director of National Intelligence

United States congressional committee

US Department of Justice

Nevada

North Carolina

Election-bound Germany braces for Russian disinformation threat

Raw Story•Dec 17, 2024

They’ve Finally Finished Counting Votes, and Yes, It’s Fishy

PJ Media•Dec 18, 2024

Sweeping Chinese hack of U.S. telecoms firms is 'still going on,' homeland security secretary says

NBC•Dec 19, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will a major attack on voting systems in a G20 country be widely attributed to an AI before 2025?

Will the U.S. have passed legislation that requires cybersecurity around AI models before 2026?

56%

Will Meta claim that there was AI-driven "coordinated inauthentic behavior" to influence the 2024 US Presidential election?

66%

Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

MetaculusM

Will the US midterms be hacked?

Make a Prediction

Will a major attack on voting systems in a G20 country be widely attributed to an AI before 2025?

Will the U.S. have passed legislation that requires cybersecurity around AI models before 2026?

Will Meta claim that there was AI-driven "coordinated inauthentic behavior" to influence the 2024 US Presidential election?

Comments

Will a major attack on voting systems in a G20 country be widely attributed to an AI before 2025?

Will the U.S. have passed legislation that requires cybersecurity around AI models before 2026?

Will Meta claim that there was AI-driven "coordinated inauthentic behavior" to influence the 2024 US Presidential election?

Will a major attack on voting systems in a G20 country be widely attributed to an AI before 2025?

Will the U.S. have passed legislation that requires cybersecurity around AI models before 2026?

Will Meta claim that there was AI-driven "coordinated inauthentic behavior" to influence the 2024 US Presidential election?

Will a major attack on voting systems in a G20 country be widely attributed to an AI before 2025?

Will the U.S. have passed legislation that requires cybersecurity around AI models before 2026?

Will Meta claim that there was AI-driven "coordinated inauthentic behavior" to influence the 2024 US Presidential election?