Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

Question

Will Philip Davis cease to be Prime Minister of the Bahamas before January 1, 2024?

Resolved :No8%
5
6
Total Forecasters26
Community Prediction8% (1% - 31%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 8%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score
18.6
Community Peer Score
6.8
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
Jgalt
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Politics
2022-2023 Leaderboard
FTX
Philip Davis
Progressive Liberal Party
Prime Minister of the Bahamas

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