Question

What will the population of Africa be in 2030?

Total Forecasters23

Community Prediction1.69k (1.65k - 1.74k)

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CDF

weight:

	<1.3k	lower 25%	median	upper 75%	>2k
community	0.3%	1.65k	1.692k	1.739k	2.6%
My Prediction	—	—	—	—	—

Lower bound	community	My Prediction
<1.3k	0.3%	—
Quartiles
lower 25%	1.65k	—
median	1.692k	—
upper 75%	1.739k	—
Upper bound
>2k	2.6%	—

Authors:

Cato

Opened:

Dec 22, 2022

Closes:

Dec 31, 2030

Scheduled resolution:

Sep 1, 2031

A new ocean? Scientists track dramatic (but slow) changes near Africa.

USA Today•Feb 12, 2025

California Faces 'Unprecedented' Population Shift

Newsweek•Feb 12, 2025

15% of global population lives within a few miles of a coast − and the number is growing rapidly

The Conversation•Feb 16, 2025

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