🔭 The Bridgewater x Metaculus Forecasting Contest Goes Global — Feb 3

For the second year, Metaculus is teaming up with Bridgewater Associates to host a competition featuring $25k in prizes and potential opportunities with the asset management firm — and this year, forecasters from around the globe can compete.

Start here to register for the February 3rd competition, warm up on practice questions, and learn about the separate Open and Undergraduate leaderboards.

M

Question

Will there be a war between two or more democratic countries before 2072?

12
41
Total Forecasters60
Community Prediction59.4% (44% - 68.5%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 59.4%
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
ForkLeaf
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:
Geopolitics
Democratic peace theory
Economist Intelligence Unit
Democracy Index
European Union

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