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🚀Metaculus Open-Source Rewrite is Live!

You're now enjoying a rewritten, open-source Metaculus, with a range of improvements and new opportunities for collaboration. Go here to learn more!

Group

When will the following vehicles launch into orbit?

Forecast Timeline

Make a Prediction

TBD group labelresolution
25thmedian75th
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>2026-01
2024-06
2024-07
2024-08
0.9%

What was the final result?Jul 9, 2024



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