Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

Question

How many Senate Democrats will vote to confirm Brett Kavanaugh to the Supreme Court?

Resolved :11.1
6
10
Total Forecasters56
Community Prediction1.1 (0.478 - 2.11)

Make a Prediction

My Prediction
community
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
...
...
...
0.478
1.1
2.114

What was the final result?1

Community Baseline Score
108.5
Community Peer Score
26.7
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
AdamK
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Law
Politics
2018 Leaderboard
The Atlantic
Supreme Court of the US
Brett Kavanaugh
Senate Democratic Caucus
Benjamin Wittes
Mike Pence
Bernie Sanders
Republican Party (US)

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