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Will a non-test ASAT weapon be used against a satellite before 2030?
9
15 comments
15
1d
1w
2m
all
Total Forecasters
90
Community Prediction
30%
Make a Prediction
community: 29.7%
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Background Info
Histogram
median
29.7%
mean
31.5%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
Authors:
AlexL
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:
🛰 The Sagan Space Tournament 🛰
Geopolitics
Space
Economy & Business
Technology
Anti-satellite weapon
2007 Chinese anti-satellite missile test
Physics
Military science
Aerospace engineering
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Authors:
AlexL
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:
🛰 The Sagan Space Tournament 🛰
Geopolitics
Space
Economy & Business
Technology
Anti-satellite weapon
2007 Chinese anti-satellite missile test
Physics
Military science
Aerospace engineering
Submit Tags Feedback
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News Match
Ghost Rockets, ASAT Tests Create “A Ticking Time Bomb” For Astronauts
Forbes
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Oct 8, 2024
NATO aims to publish its own commercial space strategy next year
Defense One
•
Oct 11, 2024
Nuclear-Armed China Issues Weapons Use Warning
Newsweek
•
Oct 11, 2024
Show More News
Learn more
about Metaculus NewsMatch
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