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What will be the total quantity of space debris orbiting earth in each year?

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TBD group label	resolution
2025	Annulled
2030	Annulled
2035	Annulled

community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>100k

28.74k

38.65k

49.08k

4.4%

What was the final result?Annulled

Forecast Timeline

2025

2030

2035

Authors:

AlexL

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

🛰 The Sagan Space Tournament 🛰

What will be the total quantity of space debris orbiting earth in each year?

What will be the estimated number of break-ups, explosions, collisions, or anomalous events resulting in fragmentation in space as of January 1, 2030?

1.06k

Space Debris and the Kessler Syndrome

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Authors:

AlexL

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

🛰 The Sagan Space Tournament 🛰

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What will be the total quantity of space debris orbiting earth in each year?

What will be the estimated number of break-ups, explosions, collisions, or anomalous events resulting in fragmentation in space as of January 1, 2030?

1.06k