Question

Will Mitch McConnell cease to be the US Senate Republican Leader before the next presidential inauguration (January 20, 2025)?

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Total Forecasters110

Community Prediction99% (99% - 99.9%)

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50%

community: 99%

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United States presidential inauguration

Mitch McConnell

Party leaders of the United States Senate

US Senate

Mitch McConnell Absent From Senate After Fall

Forbes•Dec 13, 2024

McConnell absent from Senate on Thursday as he recovers from fall in Capitol

Associated Press•Dec 13, 2024

Mitch McConnell Appears Bruised, Bandaged After Latest Fall at Capitol

Breitbart•Dec 13, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will Joe Biden no longer be US President before January 20, 2025?

Will Mike Johnson remain Speaker for all of 2024?

99%

Will the President of the United States be a member of the Republican Party throughout the entirety of next two presidential terms (spanning 2025-2033)?

40%

Comments

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Authors:

cash

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Elections

Politics

2021-2025 Leaderboard

United States presidential inauguration

Mitch McConnell

Party leaders of the United States Senate

US Senate

Mitch McConnell Absent From Senate After Fall

Forbes•Dec 13, 2024

McConnell absent from Senate on Thursday as he recovers from fall in Capitol

Associated Press•Dec 13, 2024

Mitch McConnell Appears Bruised, Bandaged After Latest Fall at Capitol

Breitbart•Dec 13, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will Joe Biden no longer be US President before January 20, 2025?

Will Mike Johnson remain Speaker for all of 2024?

99%

Will the President of the United States be a member of the Republican Party throughout the entirety of next two presidential terms (spanning 2025-2033)?

40%

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Will Mitch McConnell cease to be the US Senate Republican Leader before the next presidential inauguration (January 20, 2025)?

Make a Prediction

Will Joe Biden no longer be US President before January 20, 2025?

Will Mike Johnson remain Speaker for all of 2024?

Will the President of the United States be a member of the Republican Party throughout the entirety of next two presidential terms (spanning 2025-2033)?

Comments

Will Joe Biden no longer be US President before January 20, 2025?

Will Mike Johnson remain Speaker for all of 2024?

Will the President of the United States be a member of the Republican Party throughout the entirety of next two presidential terms (spanning 2025-2033)?

Will Joe Biden no longer be US President before January 20, 2025?

Will Mike Johnson remain Speaker for all of 2024?

Will the President of the United States be a member of the Republican Party throughout the entirety of next two presidential terms (spanning 2025-2033)?

Will Joe Biden no longer be US President before January 20, 2025?

Will Mike Johnson remain Speaker for all of 2024?

Will the President of the United States be a member of the Republican Party throughout the entirety of next two presidential terms (spanning 2025-2033)?