Question

Will Mitch McConnell cease to be the US Senate Republican Leader before the next presidential inauguration (January 20, 2025)?

28 comments28

Total Forecasters112

Community Prediction99%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 99%

median 99.0%mean 96.5%

Authors:

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Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Elections

Politics

United States presidential inauguration

Mitch McConnell

Party leaders of the United States Senate

US Senate

Will Joe Biden no longer be US President before January 20, 2025?

Will Mike Johnson remain Speaker for all of 2024?

99%

Will the President of the United States be a member of the Republican Party throughout the entirety of next two presidential terms (spanning 2025-2033)?

35%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

cash

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Elections

Politics

United States presidential inauguration

Mitch McConnell

Party leaders of the United States Senate

US Senate

Betting markets predict Rick Scott will become the next Senate GOP leader

AlterNet•Nov 12, 2024

Senate Republicans To Pick New Majority Leader in Secret Vote — Which Is Not Unusual

Snopes•Nov 12, 2024

US Senate leadership race heats up; Trump allies back Rick Scott; Who will be new Majority leader?

•Nov 12, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will Joe Biden no longer be US President before January 20, 2025?

Will Mike Johnson remain Speaker for all of 2024?

99%

Will the President of the United States be a member of the Republican Party throughout the entirety of next two presidential terms (spanning 2025-2033)?

35%