Question

Short-fuse question: Will OpenAI Five win the first of its DotA 2 matches at The International?

Resolved :No69%

6 comments6

Total Forecasters39

Community Prediction69% (44% - 90%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 69%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

-116.3

Community Peer Score

19.1

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Authors:

Anthony

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

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Will the winning bot in any Quarterly AI Benchmarking tournament beat the human Pro aggregate before Q3 of 2025?

27%

When will an AI agent be able to win Portal 2 on its first run?

2028-04-24

Will an anthropomorphic robot with artificial intelligence win in a football (soccer) penalty shootout against a professional human player before January 1, 2035?

60%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Anthony

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

AI Demonstrations

Computing and Math

Artificial Intelligence

OpenAI Under Fire: Leadership Shake-ups and Rising Competition

•Dec 17, 2024

Self-learning AI makes college football against the spread, money line, total picks for 2024-25 bowl games

CBS•Dec 18, 2024

Self-learning AI reveals college football against the spread, money line, total picks for 2024-25 bowl games

CBS•Dec 21, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the winning bot in any Quarterly AI Benchmarking tournament beat the human Pro aggregate before Q3 of 2025?

27%

When will an AI agent be able to win Portal 2 on its first run?

2028-04-24

Will an anthropomorphic robot with artificial intelligence win in a football (soccer) penalty shootout against a professional human player before January 1, 2035?

60%

Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

MetaculusM

Short-fuse question: Will OpenAI Five win the first of its DotA 2 matches at The International?

Make a Prediction

Will the winning bot in any Quarterly AI Benchmarking tournament beat the human Pro aggregate before Q3 of 2025?

When will an AI agent be able to win Portal 2 on its first run?

Will an anthropomorphic robot with artificial intelligence win in a football (soccer) penalty shootout against a professional human player before January 1, 2035?

Comments

Will the winning bot in any Quarterly AI Benchmarking tournament beat the human Pro aggregate before Q3 of 2025?

When will an AI agent be able to win Portal 2 on its first run?

Will an anthropomorphic robot with artificial intelligence win in a football (soccer) penalty shootout against a professional human player before January 1, 2035?

Will the winning bot in any Quarterly AI Benchmarking tournament beat the human Pro aggregate before Q3 of 2025?

When will an AI agent be able to win Portal 2 on its first run?

Will an anthropomorphic robot with artificial intelligence win in a football (soccer) penalty shootout against a professional human player before January 1, 2035?

Will the winning bot in any Quarterly AI Benchmarking tournament beat the human Pro aggregate before Q3 of 2025?

When will an AI agent be able to win Portal 2 on its first run?

Will an anthropomorphic robot with artificial intelligence win in a football (soccer) penalty shootout against a professional human player before January 1, 2035?

Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Short-fuse question: Will OpenAI Five win the *first* of its DotA 2 matches at The International?

Make a Prediction

Will the winning bot in any Quarterly AI Benchmarking tournament beat the human Pro aggregate before Q3 of 2025?

When will an AI agent be able to win Portal 2 on its first run?

Will an anthropomorphic robot with artificial intelligence win in a football (soccer) penalty shootout against a professional human player before January 1, 2035?

Comments

Will the winning bot in any Quarterly AI Benchmarking tournament beat the human Pro aggregate before Q3 of 2025?

When will an AI agent be able to win Portal 2 on its first run?

Will an anthropomorphic robot with artificial intelligence win in a football (soccer) penalty shootout against a professional human player before January 1, 2035?

Will the winning bot in any Quarterly AI Benchmarking tournament beat the human Pro aggregate before Q3 of 2025?

When will an AI agent be able to win Portal 2 on its first run?

Will an anthropomorphic robot with artificial intelligence win in a football (soccer) penalty shootout against a professional human player before January 1, 2035?

Will the winning bot in any Quarterly AI Benchmarking tournament beat the human Pro aggregate before Q3 of 2025?

When will an AI agent be able to win Portal 2 on its first run?

Will an anthropomorphic robot with artificial intelligence win in a football (soccer) penalty shootout against a professional human player before January 1, 2035?

Short-fuse question: Will OpenAI Five win the first of its DotA 2 matches at The International?