Question

Short-fuse question: Will OpenAI Five win the first of its DotA 2 matches at The International?

Resolved :No

6 comments6

Total Forecasters39

Community Prediction69%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 69%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

-116.3

Community Peer Score

19.1

median 69.0%mean 65.3%

Authors:

Anthony

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

AI Demonstrations

Computing and Math

Artificial Intelligence

OpenAI Five

Dota 2

OpenAI

OpenAI’s take on AI agents could come in January

TechCrunch•Nov 14, 2024

OpenAI reportedly plans to launch an AI agent early next year

Verge•Nov 14, 2024

Does Mike Tyson Have a Shot Against Jake Paul? Here's What Our AI Model Says

•Nov 14, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the winning bot in any Quarterly AI Benchmarking tournament beat the human Pro aggregate before Q3 of 2025?

35%

When will an AI agent be able to win Portal 2 on its first run?

2028-04-24

Will an anthropomorphic robot with artificial intelligence win in a football (soccer) penalty shootout against a professional human player before January 1, 2035?

60%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Anthony

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

AI Demonstrations

Computing and Math

Artificial Intelligence

OpenAI Five

Dota 2

OpenAI

OpenAI’s take on AI agents could come in January

TechCrunch•Nov 14, 2024

OpenAI reportedly plans to launch an AI agent early next year

Verge•Nov 14, 2024

Does Mike Tyson Have a Shot Against Jake Paul? Here's What Our AI Model Says

•Nov 14, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the winning bot in any Quarterly AI Benchmarking tournament beat the human Pro aggregate before Q3 of 2025?

35%

When will an AI agent be able to win Portal 2 on its first run?

2028-04-24

Will an anthropomorphic robot with artificial intelligence win in a football (soccer) penalty shootout against a professional human player before January 1, 2035?

60%

Short-fuse question: Will OpenAI Five win the *first* of its DotA 2 matches at The International?

Make a Prediction

Will the winning bot in any Quarterly AI Benchmarking tournament beat the human Pro aggregate before Q3 of 2025?

When will an AI agent be able to win Portal 2 on its first run?

Will an anthropomorphic robot with artificial intelligence win in a football (soccer) penalty shootout against a professional human player before January 1, 2035?

Comments

Will the winning bot in any Quarterly AI Benchmarking tournament beat the human Pro aggregate before Q3 of 2025?

When will an AI agent be able to win Portal 2 on its first run?

Will an anthropomorphic robot with artificial intelligence win in a football (soccer) penalty shootout against a professional human player before January 1, 2035?

Will the winning bot in any Quarterly AI Benchmarking tournament beat the human Pro aggregate before Q3 of 2025?

When will an AI agent be able to win Portal 2 on its first run?

Will an anthropomorphic robot with artificial intelligence win in a football (soccer) penalty shootout against a professional human player before January 1, 2035?

Will the winning bot in any Quarterly AI Benchmarking tournament beat the human Pro aggregate before Q3 of 2025?

When will an AI agent be able to win Portal 2 on its first run?

Will an anthropomorphic robot with artificial intelligence win in a football (soccer) penalty shootout against a professional human player before January 1, 2035?

Short-fuse question: Will OpenAI Five win the first of its DotA 2 matches at The International?