Question

Will US Household-Debt-to-GDP surpass 100% before 2033?

4 comments4

Total Forecasters20

Community Prediction48.7% (42% - 52%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 48.7%

Authors:

PhilippSchoenegger

Opened:

Dec 18, 2022

Closes:

Dec 31, 2032

Scheduled resolution:

Apr 1, 2033

Economy & Business

United States

Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

Americans are finding it harder and harder to pay off their debt

CNN•Feb 13, 2025

Household Debt Balances Continue Steady Increase; Delinquency Transition Rates Remain Elevated for Auto and Credit Cards

•Feb 13, 2025

Credit card debt hit a record $1.21 trillion — here's why 'no one should be surprised,' expert says

NBC•Feb 14, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

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136

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23%

In December 2025, what will UK total national debt (excluding public sector banks) be as a percentage of GDP?

103

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