Question
What will be the Council on Foreign Relations' count of conflicts with critical impact on U.S. interests on January 1st, 2024?
Resolved :55.04Total Forecasters11
Community Prediction5.04 (4.94 - 5.41)
Make a Prediction
CDF
| Lower bound | community | My Prediction |
| <3 | 1.0% | — |
| Quartiles | ||
| lower 25% | 4.936 | — |
| median | 5.038 | — |
| upper 75% | 5.409 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >12 | 0.3% | — |
What was the final result?5
Community Baseline Score
42.1
Community Peer Score
29.4
Authors:
Opened:Dec 5, 2022
Closes:Jan 1, 2024
Resolves:Jan 4, 2024
Comments
? comments
Authors:
Opened:Dec 5, 2022
Closes:Jan 1, 2024
Resolves:Jan 4, 2024