M

Question

What will be the Council on Foreign Relations' count of conflicts with critical impact on U.S. interests on January 1st, 2024?

Resolved :55.04
Total Forecasters11
Community Prediction5.04 (4.94 - 5.41)

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CDF

My Prediction
community
<3
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>12
...
...
...
...
...
1.0%
4.936
5.038
5.409
0.3%

What was the final result?5

Community Baseline Score
42.1
Community Peer Score
29.4
Authors:
Opened:Dec 5, 2022
Closes:Jan 1, 2024
Resolves:Jan 4, 2024

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