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Question

What will be the Council on Foreign Relations' count of conflicts with significant or greater impact on US interests on January 1, 2024?

Resolved :99.17
Total Forecasters15
Community Prediction9.17 (8.66 - 10.4)

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CDF

Lower boundcommunityMy Prediction
<77.0%
Quartiles
lower 25%8.66
median9.166
upper 75%10.38
Upper bound
>372.2%

What was the final result?9

Community Baseline Score
-48.1
Community Peer Score
86.7
Authors:
Opened:Dec 5, 2022
Closes:Dec 31, 2023
Resolves:Jan 4, 2024

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