Question
What will be the Council on Foreign Relations' count of conflicts with significant or greater impact on US interests on January 1, 2024?
Resolved :99.17Total Forecasters15
Community Prediction9.17 (8.66 - 10.4)
Make a Prediction
CDF
| Lower bound | community | My Prediction |
| <7 | 7.0% | — |
| Quartiles | ||
| lower 25% | 8.66 | — |
| median | 9.166 | — |
| upper 75% | 10.38 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >37 | 2.2% | — |
What was the final result?9
Community Baseline Score
-48.1
Community Peer Score
86.7
Authors:
Opened:Dec 5, 2022
Closes:Dec 31, 2023
Resolves:Jan 4, 2024
Comments
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Authors:
Opened:Dec 5, 2022
Closes:Dec 31, 2023
Resolves:Jan 4, 2024