Question

What will be the Council on Foreign Relations' count of conflicts with significant or greater impact on US interests on January 1, 2024?

Resolved :9

20 comments20

Total Forecasters15

Community Prediction9.17

Make a Prediction

My Prediction

community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>37

...

7.0%

8.66

9.166

10.38

2.2%

What was the final result?9

Community Baseline Score

-48.1

Community Peer Score

86.7

Authors:

Cato

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Kurdistan Workers' Party

2017–18 North Korea crisis

Israeli–Palestinian conflict

Will there be a military conflict resulting in at least 50 deaths between the United States and China in 2024?

0.1%

Will there be 10 or more armed forces conflict deaths between China and Taiwan in 2024?

Will there be 10 or more armed forces conflict deaths between India and Pakistan in 2024?

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