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How many spacecraft will land on the moon in each of the following years?

13 comments13

135 forecasters

Make a Prediction

Year

median

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Forecast Timeline

2035

2025

2030

Authors:

AlexL

Opened:

Dec 6, 2022

Closes:

Jan 1, 2036

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 30, 2036

🛰 The Sagan Space Tournament 🛰

Space

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Technology

2021-2025 Leaderboard

Cost overruns jeopardize Artemis moon landing, threaten NASA SLS rocket's future

USA Today•Feb 16, 2025

Images that capture our timeless obsession with the moon

New Scientist•Feb 16, 2025

'Goodbye Earth, hello moon': What Blue Ghost lander has been up to in NASA mission

USA Today•Feb 17, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

How many spacecraft will land on the moon from 2022 through 2025?

5.57

By 2030, how many people will have ever landed on the Moon?

16.9

How many of the following space exploration activities will China conduct before 2030?

27.3

Comments

? comments

Authors:

AlexL

Opened:

Dec 6, 2022

Closes:

Jan 1, 2036

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 30, 2036

🛰 The Sagan Space Tournament 🛰

Space

Economy & Business

Technology

2021-2025 Leaderboard

Cost overruns jeopardize Artemis moon landing, threaten NASA SLS rocket's future

USA Today•Feb 16, 2025

Images that capture our timeless obsession with the moon

New Scientist•Feb 16, 2025

'Goodbye Earth, hello moon': What Blue Ghost lander has been up to in NASA mission

USA Today•Feb 17, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

How many spacecraft will land on the moon from 2022 through 2025?

5.57

By 2030, how many people will have ever landed on the Moon?

16.9

How many of the following space exploration activities will China conduct before 2030?

27.3