Question

Who will win the Royal Society Insight Investment Science Book Prize?

Resolved :Yes56%

13 comments13

Total Forecasters50

Community Prediction56% (55% - 66%)

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50%

community: 56%

Did this actually happen?Yes

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Authors:

Peter13

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Sarah-Jayne Blakemore

Fellow of the Royal Society

Research biologist based in Berlin receives $10,000 prize given to unpublished Black poets

Associated Press•Dec 11, 2024

Review Of Into The Unknown: The Quest To Understand The Mysteries Of The Cosmos

Forbes•Dec 14, 2024

The 20 best books of the year, ranked

Independent•Dec 14, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will Stephen Wolfram, Jonathan Gorard, or Max Piskunov receive the Nobel prize in physics before 2036?

Will George Church receive a Nobel prize, in any category, before the end of 2035?

10%

Will any science fiction literature originally written in Spanish win a major science fiction award before 2031?

40%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Peter13

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Sarah-Jayne Blakemore

Fellow of the Royal Society

Research biologist based in Berlin receives $10,000 prize given to unpublished Black poets

Associated Press•Dec 11, 2024

Review Of Into The Unknown: The Quest To Understand The Mysteries Of The Cosmos

Forbes•Dec 14, 2024

The 20 best books of the year, ranked

Independent•Dec 14, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will Stephen Wolfram, Jonathan Gorard, or Max Piskunov receive the Nobel prize in physics before 2036?

Will George Church receive a Nobel prize, in any category, before the end of 2035?

10%

Will any science fiction literature originally written in Spanish win a major science fiction award before 2031?

40%

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Who will win the Royal Society Insight Investment Science Book Prize?

Make a Prediction

Will Stephen Wolfram, Jonathan Gorard, or Max Piskunov receive the Nobel prize in physics before 2036?

Will George Church receive a Nobel prize, in any category, before the end of 2035?

Will any science fiction literature originally written in Spanish win a major science fiction award before 2031?

Comments

Will Stephen Wolfram, Jonathan Gorard, or Max Piskunov receive the Nobel prize in physics before 2036?

Will George Church receive a Nobel prize, in any category, before the end of 2035?

Will any science fiction literature originally written in Spanish win a major science fiction award before 2031?

Will Stephen Wolfram, Jonathan Gorard, or Max Piskunov receive the Nobel prize in physics before 2036?

Will George Church receive a Nobel prize, in any category, before the end of 2035?

Will any science fiction literature originally written in Spanish win a major science fiction award before 2031?

Will Stephen Wolfram, Jonathan Gorard, or Max Piskunov receive the Nobel prize in physics before 2036?

Will George Church receive a Nobel prize, in any category, before the end of 2035?

Will any science fiction literature originally written in Spanish win a major science fiction award before 2031?