Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

Group

What will be the proportion of orbital launches in 2030 for the following launcher categories?

5
2
23 forecasters

Make a Prediction

Class25thmedian75th
weight:
My Prediction
community
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
...
...
...
19.75
31.4
46.91
Learn more about scores here.

Forecast Timeline

Authors:
AlexL
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:
🛰 The Sagan Space Tournament 🛰
Space
Economy & Business
Technology
Medium-lift launch vehicle
Physics
Transport
Small-lift launch vehicle
Super heavy-lift launch vehicle
Satellite constellation
Starlink
Heavy-lift launch vehicle
Falcon 9
Communication

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