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What will be the maximum number of on-Earth reuses for a single booster or other rocket stage in the following years?

31 forecasters

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Year	25th	median	75th
2025	8.42 ...	11.7 ...	16.3 ...
2030	19.2 ...	30.3 ...	58.2 ...
2035	38.1 ...	68.1 ...	157 ...

weight:

My Prediction

community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>50

...

8.416

11.73

16.31

6.6%

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Forecast Timeline

2025

2035

2030

Authors:

AlexL

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498

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Authors:

AlexL

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

🛰 The Sagan Space Tournament 🛰

Space

Economy & Business

Technology

2021-2025 Leaderboard

SpaceX reusable launch system

Elon Musk

Space Shuttle

Space Shuttle program

Falcon 9

List of Falcon 9 first-stage boosters

SpaceX

The Moon and Mars – Not a pie in the sky if the FAA and EPA will just get out of the way

American Thinker•Dec 15, 2024

From Starship tests to Starliner woes, recapping the biggest spaceflight missions of 2024

USA Today•Dec 16, 2024

Cost overruns jeopardize Artemis moon landing, threaten NASA SLS rocket's future

USA Today•Dec 16, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

What percent of the total rockets launched into space in each year will have been reused?

When will a single reusable rocket stage be used for the 25th time?

2025-05-27

What will be the total number of successful orbital rocket launches in the following years?

498

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What will be the maximum number of on-Earth reuses for a single booster or other rocket stage in the following years?

Make a Prediction

Forecast Timeline

What percent of the total rockets launched into space in each year will have been reused?

When will a single reusable rocket stage be used for the 25th time?

What will be the total number of successful orbital rocket launches in the following years?

Comments

What percent of the total rockets launched into space in each year will have been reused?

When will a single reusable rocket stage be used for the 25th time?

What will be the total number of successful orbital rocket launches in the following years?

What percent of the total rockets launched into space in each year will have been reused?

When will a single reusable rocket stage be used for the 25th time?

What will be the total number of successful orbital rocket launches in the following years?

What percent of the total rockets launched into space in each year will have been reused?

When will a single reusable rocket stage be used for the 25th time?

What will be the total number of successful orbital rocket launches in the following years?