Question
What will be the estimated number of break-ups, explosions, collisions, or anomalous events resulting in fragmentation in space as of January 1, 2030?
Total Forecasters35
Community Prediction1.12k (850 - 1.5k)
Make a Prediction
CDF
weight:
| Lower bound | community | My Prediction |
| <600 | 5.8% | — |
| Quartiles | ||
| lower 25% | 850.1 | — |
| median | 1.118k | — |
| upper 75% | 1.497k | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >10k | 0.8% | — |
Authors:
Opened:Dec 15, 2022
Closes:Jan 1, 2030
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2030
Comments
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Authors:
Opened:Dec 15, 2022
Closes:Jan 1, 2030
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2030
