Question
How many ASAT tests will occur by 2030?
Total Forecasters40
Community Prediction3.31 (1.39 - 6.6)
Make a Prediction
CDF
weight:
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | 1.388 | — |
| median | 3.306 | — |
| upper 75% | 6.601 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >100 | 0.3% | — |
Authors:
Opened:Dec 15, 2022
Closes:Jan 1, 2030
Scheduled resolution:Jan 31, 2030
Comments
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Authors:
Opened:Dec 15, 2022
Closes:Jan 1, 2030
Scheduled resolution:Jan 31, 2030
