Question

Will there be more novel new drugs approved by the FDA in 2016 than in 2015?

Resolved :No

5 comments5

Total Forecasters60

Community Prediction29%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 29%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

27.2

Community Peer Score

42.1

median 29.0%mean 34.3%

Authors:

ChristianKleineidam

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Health & Pandemics

Economy & Business

Food and Drug Administration

Center for Drug Evaluation and Research

New Drug Application

Biologics license application

How many drugs will be approved by the FDA in 2035?

65.5

Will EQRx get at least one drug approved by the FDA before the end of 2030?

37%

Will a small molecule GLP-1-based drug be approved for the treatment of obesity by the FDA or EMA by 2029?

59.7%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

ChristianKleineidam

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Health & Pandemics

Economy & Business

Food and Drug Administration

Center for Drug Evaluation and Research

New Drug Application

Biologics license application

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Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

How many drugs will be approved by the FDA in 2035?

65.5

Will EQRx get at least one drug approved by the FDA before the end of 2030?

37%

Will a small molecule GLP-1-based drug be approved for the treatment of obesity by the FDA or EMA by 2029?

59.7%