Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

Group

What will be the maximum number of people in space simultaneously for each of the following years?

7
4
38 forecasters

Make a Prediction

Year25thmedian75th
weight:
My Prediction
community
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>100
...
...
...
...
14.98
18.88
23.04
0.1%
Learn more about scores here.

Forecast Timeline

Authors:
AlexL
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:
🛰 The Sagan Space Tournament 🛰
Space
Economy & Business
Technology
2021-2025 Leaderboard
Physics
Guinness World Records
Tiangong program
Atmospheric science
Chinese large modular space station
Blue Origin
New Shepard
International Space Station
Aerospace engineering

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