Question

When will the first commercial in-orbit refueling take place?

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Total Forecasters46

Community Prediction2026-11-27 (2025-12-27 - 2028-02-07)

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lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>2036-01-01

...

2025-12-27 11:56

2026-11-27 20:17

2028-02-07 02:06

2.1%

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Authors:

AlexL

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Comments

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Authors:

AlexL

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

🛰 The Sagan Space Tournament 🛰

K2 Space will fly its extra-large satellite for the first time in 2026

TechCrunch•Dec 20, 2024

SpaceX to launch more private astronaut missions to ISS

Raw Story•Dec 20, 2024

Europe signs IRIS² satellite contracts to rival Starlink

•Dec 17, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

When will a free flying commercial space station become operational?

2031-02-22

When will the first space mission remove more than one piece of space debris from orbit?

2028-10-09

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When will the first commercial in-orbit refueling take place?

Make a Prediction

When will a free flying commercial space station become operational?

When will the first space mission remove more than one piece of space debris from orbit?

What percent of the total rockets launched into space in each year will have been reused?

Comments

When will a free flying commercial space station become operational?

When will the first space mission remove more than one piece of space debris from orbit?

What percent of the total rockets launched into space in each year will have been reused?

When will a free flying commercial space station become operational?

When will the first space mission remove more than one piece of space debris from orbit?

What percent of the total rockets launched into space in each year will have been reused?

When will a free flying commercial space station become operational?

When will the first space mission remove more than one piece of space debris from orbit?

What percent of the total rockets launched into space in each year will have been reused?