Question

What will be the maximum number of people simultaneously on the moon in 2030?

5 comments5

Total Forecasters85

Community Prediction2.47

Make a Prediction

My Prediction

community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>100

...

9.45e-1

2.47

6.01

2.0%

Authors:

AlexL

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

🛰 The Sagan Space Tournament 🛰

SpaceX reusable launch system

Colonization of the Moon

Roscosmos

China National Space Administration

Will there be a sustained human settlement on the Moon for at least 1 year before 2030?

When will a permanent human settlement stay 1 year on the Moon?

2040-08

What will be the mean consecutive length of stay by cumulative moon visitors in the following years?

2.09

Comments

? comments

Authors:

AlexL

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

🛰 The Sagan Space Tournament 🛰

SpaceX reusable launch system

Colonization of the Moon

Roscosmos

China National Space Administration

Will there be a sustained human settlement on the Moon for at least 1 year before 2030?

When will a permanent human settlement stay 1 year on the Moon?

2040-08

What will be the mean consecutive length of stay by cumulative moon visitors in the following years?

2.09

MetaculusM

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What will be the maximum number of people simultaneously on the moon in 2030?

Make a Prediction

Will there be a sustained human settlement on the Moon for at least 1 year before 2030?

When will a permanent human settlement stay 1 year on the Moon?

What will be the mean consecutive length of stay by cumulative moon visitors in the following years?

Comments

Will there be a sustained human settlement on the Moon for at least 1 year before 2030?

When will a permanent human settlement stay 1 year on the Moon?

What will be the mean consecutive length of stay by cumulative moon visitors in the following years?

Will there be a sustained human settlement on the Moon for at least 1 year before 2030?

When will a permanent human settlement stay 1 year on the Moon?

What will be the mean consecutive length of stay by cumulative moon visitors in the following years?

Will there be a sustained human settlement on the Moon for at least 1 year before 2030?

When will a permanent human settlement stay 1 year on the Moon?

What will be the mean consecutive length of stay by cumulative moon visitors in the following years?