🔭 The Bridgewater x Metaculus Forecasting Contest Goes Global — Feb 3

For the second year, Metaculus is teaming up with Bridgewater Associates to host a competition featuring $25k in prizes and potential opportunities with the asset management firm — and this year, forecasters from around the globe can compete.

Start here to register for the February 3rd competition, warm up on practice questions, and learn about the separate Open and Undergraduate leaderboards.

M

Question

On January 1, 2024, will Vladimir Putin be President of Russia?

Resolved :Yes99.6%
18
28
Total Forecasters418
Community Prediction99.6% (99% - 99.9%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 99.6%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score
88.0
Community Peer Score
11.1
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
casens
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
ACX 2023 Prediction Contest
Geopolitics
Politics
2022-2023 Leaderboard
President of Russia
Vladimir Putin
Foreign policy of Vladimir Putin
Russia

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