Question
In 2023 will a nuclear weapon be used in war (ie not a test or accident) and kill at least 10 people?
Resolved :No0.1%Total Forecasters108
Community Prediction0.1% (0.1% - 1%)
Make a Prediction
Did this actually happen?No
Community Baseline Score
97.9
Community Peer Score
3.4
Authors:
Opened:Dec 22, 2022
Closes:Dec 31, 2023
Resolves:Jan 1, 2024
Comments
? comments
Authors:
Opened:Dec 22, 2022
Closes:Dec 31, 2023
Resolves:Jan 1, 2024
