Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

Group

What will real GDP growth (using the seasonally adjusted annual rate) be in the United States in the following quarters?

3
13
15 forecasters

Make a Prediction

Quarterresolution
Quarter25thmedian75th
community
<-3
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>6
0.4%
0.5533
1.412
2.55
1.1%

What was the final result?4.9

Community Baseline Score
-110.3
Community Peer Score
33.5
Learn more about scores here.

Forecast Timeline

Total Forecasters 6
Authors:
RyanBeck
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:
Economic Indicators
Economy & Business
2021-2025 Leaderboard
2022 Leaderboard
2022-2023 Leaderboard
2024-2025 Leaderboard
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis
Gross domestic product
United States
Real gross domestic product
Bureau of Economic Analysis

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