M

Question

On January 1, 2024, will there be a lasting cease-fire in the Russia-Ukraine war?

Resolved :No0.2%
Total Forecasters190
Community Prediction0.2% (0.1% - 1%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 0.2%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score
81.5
Community Peer Score
16.3
Authors:
Opened:Dec 22, 2022
Closes:Dec 31, 2023
Resolves:Jan 1, 2024

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