Question

In 2023 will any new country join NATO?

Resolved :Yes99%

7 comments7

Total Forecasters127

Community Prediction99% (99% - 99.9%)

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50%

community: 99%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score

22.3

Community Peer Score

3.2

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casens

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ACX 2023 Prediction Contest

Geopolitics

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NATO nations are reportedly in talks to boost defense spending amid Trump's return to power

Business Insider•Dec 13, 2024

NATO chief urges members to 'turbocharge' defense production as he paints picture of a world bound for war

FOX News•Dec 13, 2024

Panicking NATO considers raising defence spending as chief warns 'we're not ready for what's coming' in fresh WW3 alert as Trump threatens to pull out of the alliance and Putin gets upper hand in Ukra

Daily Mail•Dec 13, 2024

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Will there be a war between Russia and one or more NATO countries, but not the US, by 2035?

14%

Will any Member State leave the Eurozone before 2030?

Which countries will be the subject of NATO action under Article 5 of the North Atlantic Treaty, if NATO takes Article 5 action before 2040?

Comments

? comments

Authors:

casens

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

ACX 2023 Prediction Contest

Geopolitics

Politics

2022-2023 Leaderboard

NATO nations are reportedly in talks to boost defense spending amid Trump's return to power

Business Insider•Dec 13, 2024

NATO chief urges members to 'turbocharge' defense production as he paints picture of a world bound for war

FOX News•Dec 13, 2024

Daily Mail•Dec 13, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will there be a war between Russia and one or more NATO countries, but not the US, by 2035?

14%

Take Our 🏆Quarterly Cup🏆 Survey

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In 2023 will any new country join NATO?

Make a Prediction

Will there be a war between Russia and one or more NATO countries, but not the US, by 2035?

Will any Member State leave the Eurozone before 2030?

Which countries will be the subject of NATO action under Article 5 of the North Atlantic Treaty, if NATO takes Article 5 action before 2040?

Comments

Will there be a war between Russia and one or more NATO countries, but not the US, by 2035?

Will any Member State leave the Eurozone before 2030?

Which countries will be the subject of NATO action under Article 5 of the North Atlantic Treaty, if NATO takes Article 5 action before 2040?

Will there be a war between Russia and one or more NATO countries, but not the US, by 2035?

Will any Member State leave the Eurozone before 2030?

Which countries will be the subject of NATO action under Article 5 of the North Atlantic Treaty, if NATO takes Article 5 action before 2040?

Will there be a war between Russia and one or more NATO countries, but not the US, by 2035?

Will any Member State leave the Eurozone before 2030?

Which countries will be the subject of NATO action under Article 5 of the North Atlantic Treaty, if NATO takes Article 5 action before 2040?