Question

In 2023 will any new country join NATO?

Resolved :Yes

7 comments7

Total Forecasters127

Community Prediction99%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 99%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score

22.3

Community Peer Score

3.2

median 99.0%mean 98.3%

Authors:

casens

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

ACX 2023 Prediction Contest

Will there be a war between Russia and one or more NATO countries, but not the US, by 2035?

10%

Will any Member State leave the Eurozone before 2030?

Which countries will be the subject of NATO action under Article 5 of the North Atlantic Treaty, if NATO takes Article 5 action before 2040?

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