Question

In 2023 will an issue involving a nuclear power plant in Ukraine require evacuation of a populated area?

Resolved :No

2 comments2

Total Forecasters103

Community Prediction1%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 1%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

79.7

Community Peer Score

7.3

median 1.0%mean 1.8%

Authors:

casens

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

ACX 2023 Prediction Contest

Ukraine Could Build its Own Nuclear Bombs in Months: Report

Breitbart•Nov 14, 2024

Ukraine Responds to Nuclear Bomb Claims

Newsweek•Nov 14, 2024

Could Zelensky really go nuclear and build a ‘dirty bomb’ if Trump ends US support of Ukraine?

Independent•Nov 15, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

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Will there be a major nuclear accident before 2030?

20%

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