Question

In 2023 will there be more than 25 million confirmed COVID cases in China?

Resolved :No

51 comments51

Total Forecasters140

Community Prediction3%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 3%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

25.8

Community Peer Score

45.1

median 3.0%mean 4.9%

Authors:

casens

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

ACX 2023 Prediction Contest

Novel Pathogen in China November 2023? → 25M Killed by Pandemic 2022 to 2031

How many reported COVID-19 deaths will occur (globally) in 2025?

158k

Will there be a novel pathogen that kills over 25 million people between 2022 and 2031 (inclusive)?

Comments

? comments

Authors:

casens

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

ACX 2023 Prediction Contest

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Novel Pathogen in China November 2023? → 25M Killed by Pandemic 2022 to 2031

How many reported COVID-19 deaths will occur (globally) in 2025?

158k