M

Question

On January 1, 2024, will prediction markets say Ron DeSantis is the most likely Republican nominee for President in 2024?

Resolved :No
5
7
Total Forecasters144
Community Prediction0%

Make a Prediction

community: 0.1%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score
50.4
Community Peer Score
25.4
median 0.1%mean 1.1%
0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%100%
Authors:
casens
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
ACX 2023 Prediction Contest
Elections
Ron DeSantis
Scott Alexander
Manifold
2024 Elections (US)
Republican Party (US)

Comments

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