Question

When will US seasonally adjusted annual CPI inflation fall below 3%?

Resolved :Jun 15, 2024

20 comments20

Total Forecasters30

Community Prediction2024-08-17

Make a Prediction

My Prediction

community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>2035-01-01

...

2024-02-19 03:50

2024-08-17 13:52

2025-04-09 18:22

0.6%

What was the final result?Jun 15, 2024

Community Baseline Score

9.8

Community Peer Score

3.2

Authors:

Cato

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Economy & Business

2019–20 coronavirus pandemic

Federal Reserve Economic Data

Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

United States

Consumer price index

Will annual US core CPI inflation be above 3% in December 2024?

59%

What will be the annual headline CPI inflation in the United States in the following years?

What will the seasonally adjusted month over month headline CPI inflation be in the United States in the following months?

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Cato

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Economy & Business

2019–20 coronavirus pandemic

Federal Reserve Economic Data

Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

United States

Consumer price index

U.S. Inflation Likely Cooled Again as Economy Strengthens

Newsweek•Oct 10, 2024

CPI Inflation Worse Than Expected Last Month—But Still At 3.5-Year Low In Last Pre-Election Report

Forbes•Oct 10, 2024

U.S. inflation continued to cool in September, latest CPI data shows

CBS•Oct 10, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will annual US core CPI inflation be above 3% in December 2024?

59%