Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

Question

What will be the size of the parametric insurance industry in 2031?

6
4
Total Forecasters5
Community Prediction29.7B (18.3B - 34.7B)

Make a Prediction

weight:
My Prediction
community
<1B
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>100B
...
...
...
...
...
20.0%
18.26B
29.66B
34.74B
0.1%
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
PhilippSchoenegger
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:
Environment & Climate
Economy & Business
Financial services
Global warming

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