Metaculus
M
Questions
Tournaments
Leaderboards
News
More
create
Log in
a
/
文
Question
Question
Will backpropagation take a back seat by 2030?
8
5 comments
5
1d
1w
2m
all
Total Forecasters
20
Community Prediction
35%
Make a Prediction
50%
community: 35%
Sign Up to Predict
Background Info
Histogram
median
35.0%
mean
33.9%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
Authors:
peter_m
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:
AI Training and Compute
AI Technical Benchmarks
Artificial Intelligence
Automatic differentiation
Geoffrey Hinton
Forward–backward algorithm
Machine learning
Data analysis
Backpropagation
Submit Tags Feedback
Comments
Log in
? comments
recent
Load more comments
Follow
embed
Authors:
peter_m
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:
AI Training and Compute
AI Technical Benchmarks
Artificial Intelligence
Automatic differentiation
Geoffrey Hinton
Forward–backward algorithm
Machine learning
Data analysis
Backpropagation
Submit Tags Feedback
News Match
OpenAI is reportedly struggling to improve its next big AI model. It's a warning for the entire AI industry.
Business Insider
•
Nov 12, 2024
OpenAI to launch autonomous AI agent Operator in January
•
Nov 14, 2024
OpenAI set to launch ‘Operator’ in January — AI agents that can do tasks for you
•
Nov 14, 2024
Show More News
Learn more
about Metaculus NewsMatch
News Match
OpenAI is reportedly struggling to improve its next big AI model. It's a warning for the entire AI industry.
Business Insider
•
Nov 12, 2024
OpenAI to launch autonomous AI agent Operator in January
•
Nov 14, 2024
OpenAI set to launch ‘Operator’ in January — AI agents that can do tasks for you
•
Nov 14, 2024
Show More News
Learn more
about Metaculus NewsMatch
Similar Questions
Will transformer derived architectures accelerate progress in deep learning?
30%
Will transformer derived architectures still be state of the art for language modeling in December 2025?
85%
Will photonic tensor cores be ubiquitous in machine learning by 2030?
13%
Show More Questions
Similar Questions
Will transformer derived architectures accelerate progress in deep learning?
30%
Will transformer derived architectures still be state of the art for language modeling in December 2025?
85%
Will photonic tensor cores be ubiquitous in machine learning by 2030?
13%
Show More Questions