M

Question

When will Russia launch a new major land offensive in Ukraine outside of claimed oblasts?

Resolved :Above upper bound2023-05-01
Total Forecasters110
Community Prediction2023-05-01 (2023-05-01 - 2023-05-01)

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My Prediction
community
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>2023-05-01
...
...
...
...
>2023-05-01 00:00
>2023-05-01 00:00
>2023-05-01 00:00
94.2%

What was the final result?Above upper bound

Community Baseline Score
110.8
Community Peer Score
69.8
Opened:Dec 22, 2022
Closes:May 1, 2023
Resolves:May 8, 2023

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