Question

When will Russia launch a new major land offensive in Ukraine outside of claimed oblasts?

Resolved :Above upper bound2023-05-01

51 comments51

Total Forecasters110

Community Prediction2023-05-01 (2023-05-01 - 2023-05-01)

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lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>2023-05-01

...

>2023-05-01 00:00

94.2%

What was the final result?Above upper bound

Community Baseline Score

110.8

Community Peer Score

69.8

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Geopolitics

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