Question

When will Russia launch a new major land offensive in Ukraine outside of claimed oblasts?

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Community Prediction2023-05

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2023-05

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Belarus–Russia relations

Sumy

Ukraine

Will Russia repel Ukrainian forces from the Kursk Region before June 30, 2025?

50%

Will Russia have significantly expanded its controlled territory in Ukraine on January 1, 2026?

20%

Will Ukraine have de-facto control over the Donetsk and Luhansk Oblasts before January 1st, 2030?

Comments

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Authors:

MetaCalculator

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Belarus–Russia relations

Sumy

Ukraine

Russia captures strategic stronghold after 2 years of Ukrainian resistance

NBC•Oct 2, 2024

Ukraine: Russians capture strategic town of Vuhledar in yet another blow for Kyiv

CNN•Oct 2, 2024

The fall of Vuhledar is a microcosm of Ukraine’s wartime predicament

Associated Press•Oct 2, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will Russia repel Ukrainian forces from the Kursk Region before June 30, 2025?

50%

Will Russia have significantly expanded its controlled territory in Ukraine on January 1, 2026?

20%

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When will Russia launch a new major land offensive in Ukraine outside of claimed oblasts?

Make a Prediction

Will Russia repel Ukrainian forces from the Kursk Region before June 30, 2025?

Will Russia have significantly expanded its controlled territory in Ukraine on January 1, 2026?

Will Ukraine have de-facto control over the Donetsk and Luhansk Oblasts before January 1st, 2030?

Comments

Will Russia repel Ukrainian forces from the Kursk Region before June 30, 2025?

Will Russia have significantly expanded its controlled territory in Ukraine on January 1, 2026?

Will Ukraine have de-facto control over the Donetsk and Luhansk Oblasts before January 1st, 2030?

Will Russia repel Ukrainian forces from the Kursk Region before June 30, 2025?

Will Russia have significantly expanded its controlled territory in Ukraine on January 1, 2026?

Will Ukraine have de-facto control over the Donetsk and Luhansk Oblasts before January 1st, 2030?

Will Russia repel Ukrainian forces from the Kursk Region before June 30, 2025?

Will Russia have significantly expanded its controlled territory in Ukraine on January 1, 2026?

Will Ukraine have de-facto control over the Donetsk and Luhansk Oblasts before January 1st, 2030?