Question

Will the UK House of Lords be elected by proportional representation before 2030?

3 comments3

Total Forecasters35

Community Prediction5% (2.5% - 8%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 5%

Authors:

CheChe

Opened:

Dec 25, 2022

Closes:

Jan 1, 2030

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2030

Elections

Politics

House of Lords

Proportional representation

Labour Party (UK)

Keir Starmer

Gordon Brown

Power Elites and the Limits of Representation

Jacobin•Feb 12, 2025

Nigel Farage's Reform Ahead of Labour and Tories in Major Poll

Breitbart•Feb 15, 2025

Reform UK overtakes Labour for first time in national opinion poll – UK politics live

Guardian•Feb 15, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the UK House of Commons be elected by proportional representation before 2030?

When will most members of the House of Lords be directly democratically elected?

2038-01-10

Will the UK Labour Party have a female leader before 2030?

19%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

CheChe

Opened:

Dec 25, 2022

Closes:

Jan 1, 2030

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2030

Elections

Politics

House of Lords

Proportional representation

Labour Party (UK)

Keir Starmer

Gordon Brown

Power Elites and the Limits of Representation

Jacobin•Feb 12, 2025

Nigel Farage's Reform Ahead of Labour and Tories in Major Poll

Breitbart•Feb 15, 2025

Reform UK overtakes Labour for first time in national opinion poll – UK politics live

Guardian•Feb 15, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the UK House of Commons be elected by proportional representation before 2030?

When will most members of the House of Lords be directly democratically elected?

2038-01-10

Will the UK Labour Party have a female leader before 2030?

19%