Question

Will Russia capture or surround a large Ukrainian city before June 1, 2023?

Resolved :No1%

90 comments90

Total Forecasters337

Community Prediction1% (0.1% - 1%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 1%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

78.6

Community Peer Score

16.6

Authors:

Firenze

Opened:

Dec 26, 2022

Closes:

May 31, 2023

Resolves:

Jun 1, 2023

Geopolitics

2022-2023 Leaderboard

Belarus–Russia relations

Luhansk Oblast

Sumy

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Independent•Jan 27, 2025

Ukraine on the Verge of Defeat

Lew Rockwell•Jan 27, 2025

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