Question

Will Russia capture or surround a large Ukrainian city before June 1, 2023?

Resolved :No

90 comments90

Total Forecasters337

Community Prediction1%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 1%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

78.6

Community Peer Score

16.6

median 1.0%mean 1.7%

Authors:

Firenze

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Belarus–Russia relations

Luhansk Oblast

Sumy

Russia

Will Russia repel Ukrainian forces from the Kursk Region before June 30, 2025?

67%

Will Russia have significantly expanded its controlled territory in Ukraine on January 1, 2026?

25%

Will Ukraine have de-facto control over the Donetsk and Luhansk Oblasts before January 1st, 2030?

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