Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

Question

Will Texas elect a Democratic senator in 2018?

Resolved :No22%
16
11
Total Forecasters120
Community Prediction22% (20% - 40%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 22%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score
47.9
Community Peer Score
9.1
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
aran
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Elections
2018 Leaderboard
Ted Cruz
Lloyd Bentsen
Democratic Party (US)
Beto O'Rourke
2018 United States Senate elections
Texas
US Senate

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