Question

Will Texas elect a Democratic senator in 2018?

Resolved :No

11 comments11

Total Forecasters120

Community Prediction22%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 22%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

47.9

Community Peer Score

9.1

median 22.0%mean 25.9%

Authors:

aran

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Elections

Ted Cruz

Lloyd Bentsen

Democratic Party (US)

Beto O'Rourke

2018 United States Senate elections

Texas

US Senate

Will a third party win a Senate election in the United States by 2050?

50%

Will a Democrat win the 2028 US presidential election?

55%

If Puerto Rico becomes a US state by 2035, will their first 2 elected Senators both be Democrats?

60%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

aran

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Elections

Ted Cruz

Lloyd Bentsen

Democratic Party (US)

Beto O'Rourke

2018 United States Senate elections

Texas

US Senate

How Democrats Can Win Back the Senate

Newsweek•Nov 12, 2024

Dollars didn’t make Texas blue… again

American Thinker•Nov 12, 2024

Donald Trump's Texas Triumph Presents Doomsday Scenario for Democrats

Newsweek•Nov 13, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will a third party win a Senate election in the United States by 2050?

50%

Will a Democrat win the 2028 US presidential election?

55%

If Puerto Rico becomes a US state by 2035, will their first 2 elected Senators both be Democrats?

60%