Question

When will one TeraFLOP/s cost <$1?

18 comments18

Total Forecasters78

Community Prediction2029-05

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My Prediction

community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

...

2026-03

2029-05

2033-06

Authors:

Tamay

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Information technology

United States

When will the first zetta-FLOPS performer appear?

2035-10

What will be the highest estimated computation (in FLOP) used in large AI training runs by the following years?

If and when the first whole human brain is successfully emulated, how much will 1 hour of subjective run time cost?

18.7k

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Tamay

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Information technology

United States

When will the first zetta-FLOPS performer appear?

2035-10

What will be the highest estimated computation (in FLOP) used in large AI training runs by the following years?

If and when the first whole human brain is successfully emulated, how much will 1 hour of subjective run time cost?

18.7k

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When will one TeraFLOP/s cost <$1?

Make a Prediction

When will the first zetta-FLOPS performer appear?

What will be the highest estimated computation (in FLOP) used in large AI training runs by the following years?

If and when the first whole human brain is successfully emulated, how much will 1 hour of subjective run time cost?

Comments

When will the first zetta-FLOPS performer appear?

What will be the highest estimated computation (in FLOP) used in large AI training runs by the following years?

If and when the first whole human brain is successfully emulated, how much will 1 hour of subjective run time cost?

When will the first zetta-FLOPS performer appear?

What will be the highest estimated computation (in FLOP) used in large AI training runs by the following years?

If and when the first whole human brain is successfully emulated, how much will 1 hour of subjective run time cost?

When will the first zetta-FLOPS performer appear?

What will be the highest estimated computation (in FLOP) used in large AI training runs by the following years?

If and when the first whole human brain is successfully emulated, how much will 1 hour of subjective run time cost?