Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

Month	resolution
Dec-22	223k
Jan-23	Above upper bound
Feb-23	311k
Mar-23	236k
Apr-23	253k
May-23	339k
Jun-23	209k
Jul-23	187k
Aug-23	187k
Sep-23	336k
Oct-23	150k
Nov-23	199k
Dec-23	216k
Jan-24	353k
Feb-24	275k
Mar-24	303k
Apr-24	175k
May-24	272k
Jun-24	206k
Jul-24	114k
Aug-24	142k
Sep-24	254k
Nov-24	-
Month	25th	median	75th
Dec-24	24.8k ...	99.4k ...	170k ...
Jan-25	10.8k ...	87.8k ...	164k ...
Feb-25	-2.34k ...	98k ...	194k ...
Mar-25	6.78k ...	121k ...	227k ...
Apr-25	18.1k ...	127k ...	232k ...

Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

MetaculusM

What will be the change in seasonally adjusted nonfarm payroll employment in the following months?

Make a Prediction

Forecast Timeline

What will the seasonally adjusted U-3 unemployment rate be in the United States in the following months?

What will be the seasonally adjusted annual average U-3 unemployment rate in the United States in the following years?

What will the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate be in Australia, for the following months?

Comments

What will the seasonally adjusted U-3 unemployment rate be in the United States in the following months?

What will be the seasonally adjusted annual average U-3 unemployment rate in the United States in the following years?

What will the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate be in Australia, for the following months?

What will the seasonally adjusted U-3 unemployment rate be in the United States in the following months?

What will be the seasonally adjusted annual average U-3 unemployment rate in the United States in the following years?

What will the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate be in Australia, for the following months?

What will the seasonally adjusted U-3 unemployment rate be in the United States in the following months?

What will be the seasonally adjusted annual average U-3 unemployment rate in the United States in the following years?

What will the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate be in Australia, for the following months?