Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish on Vox.com. Predict here! $2,500 in prizes

M

Group

What will be the change in seasonally adjusted nonfarm payroll employment in the following months?

7
47
20 forecasters

Make a Prediction

Monthresolution
Month25thmedian75th
<-200k
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>500k
1.6%
64.83k
140k
214k
0.8%

What was the final result?199k

Community Baseline Score
9.2
Community Peer Score
86.4
Learn more about scores here.

Forecast Timeline

Total Forecasters 8
Authors:
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:

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