Question

In 2023 will there be any change in the composition of the Supreme Court?

Resolved :No

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community: 0.9%

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82.2

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8.4

median 0.9%mean 1.2%

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ACX 2023 Prediction Contest

Law

Politics

Supreme Court of the US

Scott Alexander

In 2024 will there be any change in the composition of the US Supreme Court?

Will there be fewer than 6 conservative justices on the SCOTUS on January 20, 2025?

12%

How many US Supreme Court Justices will be confirmed during the 2025 presidential term?

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ACX 2023 Prediction Contest

Law

Politics

Supreme Court of the US

Scott Alexander

Many federal judges expected to retire 'in very short order' depending on election results

Raw Story•Oct 6, 2024

Supreme Court returns to work with an eye on a post-election storm

CNN•Oct 7, 2024

The threat of election chaos looms as the Supreme Court returns to action

NBC•Oct 7, 2024

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In 2024 will there be any change in the composition of the US Supreme Court?

Will there be fewer than 6 conservative justices on the SCOTUS on January 20, 2025?

12%